How does USA advance at World Cup? We track all Group B scenarios

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USA Jordan Morris (16) in action vs Wales during Group Stage - Group B match at Al Rayyan Stadium on November 21, 2022. (Simon Bruty /Sports Illustrated via Getty Images)

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DOHA, Qatar - After holding England scoreless and picking up a point on Friday, the United States can guarantee its place in the Round of 16 stage with Iran on Tuesday (2 p.m. ET on FOX and the FOX Sports app) — it can also still technically win Group B.

Here we break down all the outcomes and obstacles, as Gregg Berhalter’s tenacious American squad tries to find a way through the minefield.

So, get ready to watch the scoreboard — and the all-important goal-differential.

Permutations and Scenarios:

If USA beats Iran AND England beats Wales: USA will advance to the Round of 16 as the runner-up in Group B to winners England.

If USA beats Iran AND England ties with Wales: USA will enter a tiebreaker with England for the top spot. The first tiebreaker is goal differential and England has a four-goal advantage over the Americans because of its 6-2 win over Iran. The loser of that tiebreaker will still advance.

If USA beats Iran AND England lose to Wales: USA will advance to the Round of 16 as the winners of Group B and England will advance as the runner-up.

If USA ties with OR loses to Iran AND England beats Wales: USA will be eliminated from the tournament and Iran will advance to the Round of 16 as runner-up in Group B to winners England.

If USA loses to Iran AND England ties with Wales: USA will be eliminated from the tournament and Iran will advance to the Round of 16 as the winners Group of B; England will advance as the runner-up.

If USA loses to Iran AND England loses to Wales: USA will be eliminated from the tournament and Iran will advance to the Round of 16 as the winner of Group B: England will enter a tiebreaker with Wales based on goal differential to determine the runner-up. England has a six-goal advantage on Wales.

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